Consider
this: Jack invests $100 a month starting at age 25. He
increases his education and moves up to better positions.
At age 35 he starts to put away $500 a month and has an
average annual rate of return of 10%. At 65 he has
$1,500,000.
George doesnt
save anything until 35 but he has moved up and puts away
$500 a month at an average annual return of 10% just like
Jack. At 65 he has $1,100,000. Jack only invested $12,000
more than George did but he has $400,000 more to spend in
his retirement. (Source Investors Business Daily)
If time
doesnt work for you it will surely work against you.
The first
step to finding an investment strategy and starting a
portfolio that is right for you (or changing an existing
strategy and rearranging your existing portfolio) is to
determine 6 basic things:
(1)
Calculate your net worth, cash flow, your real take home
pay, your expected expenses (college, a house, etc.) your
retirement needs and what type of money would be needed in
the event of an untimely death. This can take some time
but is essential for you to know where you are. Try the
American Express site at the following address:
http://www6.americanexpress.com/advisors/tools/.
They have a basic calculator for getting a picture of your
finances. Also try (for a fee)
financialplanauditors.com/
(2.)
Determine how much money you can set aside for investing.
A good rule of thumb is that men should set
aside 10% of their income and women set aside 12%. The
reason for the difference is that women live longer and
therefore need more savings. Needless to say this is not
always possible. The vicissitudes of fortune will make an
uninterrupted savings plan difficult at best. But during
times of plenty more can be put away to cover for the lean
times. The important thing is to get started. A money tree
wont grow unless you plant it and take care of it.
-
Create a
road map for your financial future. Decide when you plan
to use the money and what will it be used for.
How long will it have to grow and what type
of return will be needed?
Is the money to be used for your education,
a childs education, cash to start a business, a down
payment on a home? Is it to keep you from having to live
on your Social Security check from the government in old
age?
Where you are at in life, what you are
saving for and how long you have to build the cash can
affect the type of investment you make. These are things
that must be considered if you are to build a good
financial future for yourself and your family.
-
Determine how much risk you can tolerate.
Stocks, bonds and mutual funds all carry
differing degrees of risk. Each of these major categories
has numerous subdivisions with differing degrees of risk
and the risk differs with each investment vehicle. Each
individual has a different tolerance for risk.
Do you want the utmost safety and can
accept a low rate of return? You want government bonds or
government bond funds.
Do you want your capital secured and
your returns a bit better than government bonds? Then you
probably want blue chip bonds or bond funds.
Do you want the relative safety of bonds
but your are willing to take some risk in exchange for a
higher rate of return? Junk bonds might be for you.
Do you want to take some risk in stocks
in exchange for a possible higher rate of returns than
bonds but prefer the risk spread out and managed for you?
You want to look at stock mutual funds.
Do you want your investment vehicle to
do as good as the market average but you dont want to
worry about it? You probably want a stock index fund with
a low fee company.
Are you more comfortable with large,
stable companies whose stock costs a lot but pay good
dividends you can reinvest? Blue Chip stocks might be the
right investment vehicle for you.
Are you willing to do your own research
and accept higher risk with the possibility of high
returns? Then you are probably an independent stock
investor.
Does high
risk turn you on? Recent Internet Initial Public Offerings
might be right for you.
You may want all of these at different
times of your life and during different economic
conditions.
Do turbulent
markets give you the jitters? Always ask yourself how much
of a beating you can take because every investor takes a
beating from time to time. Could you sit out a market
decline that lasted 6 months, 1 year, a two-year
recession? There are always going to be declines and
recessions and no one can accurately predict when they
will occur. How much safety do you want and how much risk
can you sleep with.
-
Determine what expenses can be cut or decreased to
increase your capital.
Saving involves sacrifice. It involves
keeping your eye on the future, not on the greedy present.
Go through your finances with a ruthless eye toward your
expenses and what is really important and what is bull.
How much do you really need to survive?
What can you truly cut?
How much goes to recreation?
How much to ego? Why?
How much goes you dont know where?
Keep track of every dollar you spend for
a month then take a good hard look at where your money
goes. Keep receipts and record everything that you
spend then sit down and look at whats frivolous and what
isnt. Look especially hard at recurring monthly bills. $30
per month is $360 per year. Cut the frivolous. Then take
another hard look at what changes can be made with how you
spend your money. Is there anything else you can do to
free up more cash?
How many
credit cards would you be willing to slice and dice for
your financial future?
Would you
be willing to shop at discount stores and discontinued
racks?
If you eat out at lunch would you be
willing to brown bag it?
Would you be willing to buy your kids
clothes at a thrift store?
Would you take your vacations at home to
save money to invest?
Would you save up and invest to pay cash
for a new car instead of making payments?
Do you drive an older car that is still
dependable but have your eye of something flashy? Buy a
new car for $20,000 with 10% down and a 48-month loan and
your payment will be $448 per month. If you set aside the
money to buy the car in a 5% money market fund you could
pay cash at the end of 4 years. If you started buying your
cars this way at age 30 and invested the extra money in an
IRA that returns 9% you would have over $300,000 when you
retire.
Would you swallow your ego and pay cash
for a used car instead of a new one or even ride the bus
to save money to invest?
Would you do without cable TV? Forty
dollars a month is $480 per year.
Would you work a part-time job? Forty
dollars a week in take home pay is $2,080 to invest over
the period of a year.
How about paying off your credit card
debt to save yourself 18% or more if your rate is higher?
Almost everyone can cut some expenses to
increase the dollars available for investing if they
really want to. But it always involves some pain. No pain,
no gain.
-
Determine what steps you can take with regards to your
employment to increase your income. A step up is a step
forward.
Would your company train you for a better
position if you let them know your were interested and
available? Many companies prefer to fill positions from
within if at all possible.
Are there any night courses available that
could increase your skills and therefore your income
level?
Would you be willing to go back to school
full time if you can afford it?
If youre dissatisfied with your income have
you been checking the classified ads and the Internet job
sites for a new job?
Have you sent out any resumes or contacted
anyone? Even if you are basically satisfied with your
current employment have you been checking the classified
and Internet for a better company and a better position?
Moving from a job that doesnt have benefits to one that
does is one of the best investments you can make. A better
paying position with better medical and retirement
benefits is always a good investment. But you have to
search to find it. And it probably wont happen if you just
look once or twice and then stop. Check out these web
sites for better jobs and new careers:
-
careermart.com (2) selectjobs.com (3) monsterboard.com
(4) occ.com
(6) net-temps.com (7) careersite.com
(8)
new.careerpath.com (9)jobtrack.com (10) ajb.dni.us
(11)
hotjobs.com (12) joboptions.com (13) futurestep.com
(14)
tripod.com (15)hireminds.com (16) careerbuilder.com
(17)
zinezone.com
When contacting a company by E-mail
remember to (1) Make electronic correspondence as formal
as print, (2) Keep your resume simple, (3) Include your
E-mail address in all correspondence, (4) Follow up an
E-mail resume with a hard copy, (5) Send your resume and
cover letter as E-mail and not a separate attachment that
might not fully make it through, (6) Send a copy to a
friend with a different E-mail program to see if it gets
through all right. Remember, many employers search through
their resume databases by keywords, always include terms
and phrases relating to your expertise.
PERSONALITY TESTING TOOL SITES
-
review.com/birkman
(2) keirsey.com (3) assement .com
(4)
careersby-design.com (5) ten-speed.com/parachute/
WHEN SHOULD YOU START INVESTING?
You should start
right now! Unless the market is in the middle of a steep
slide. Invest $400 per year (about $7.70 per week)
starting at age 30 at an average annual rate of return of
10% and you will have almost $120,000 at age 65. The same
investment and rate of return with investment starting at
age 40 produces a little over 42,000. Of course if you
could double that to $15.40 per week you could double the
result. If you do your investment homework.
If two people
invest at a rate of return of 10% over a forty year period
with the first investing $2,000 per year for years 1-8 and
the second investing $2,000 in years 9-40 the first person
would invest a total of $16,000 and the second would have
a total of $64,000 invested. Due to the effects of
compounding at the end of the 40 year period the person
investing in years 1-8 would have $88,000 more. (Source:
Investors Business Daily.)
THE VALUE OF $100 COMPOUNDING AT 10%
AFTER:
1 YR. $110.00 2 YRS. $121.00
10 YRS. $259.00 20 YRS. $673.00
50 YRS. $11,739.00 100 YRS.
$1,378,061.00
Invest $100 per month at a 10% rate of
return and you will have $20,000 in 10 years, $41,000 in
15 years, $76,000 in 20 years and $227,000 in 30 years.
Invest $300 per month and the figures are $62,000 for 10
years, $125,000 for 15 years, $229,000 for 20 years and
$683,000 for 30 years. With an annual average inflation
rate of 3% over 30 years the $227,000 is $117,000 and the
$683,000 becomes $353,000.
YOUR FINANCIAL LIBRARY: PASSPORT TO
PROSPERITY
One of the
most important things you can do for your financial future
is to start a financial library and read and study the
books as you learn about your chosen investment vehicles
and the markets. The following books will give you a basic
investment library for study. The financial programs on
CNBC will give you a day by day commentary on whats
happening in the markets. If you are new to investing you
may feel a little overwhelmed by the sheer amount of
information that you are bombarded with. It takes time and
effort to learn about a particular investment vehicle and
learning about investments is a lifetime experience.
Choose an investment vehicle (stocks, bonds
or mutual funds) that interests you and immerse yourself
in learning about that one vehicle until you feel you have
a good grasp of it. Pick a certain security within your
area of interest and follow it in the financial section of
your local paper as it goes up and down. Let reality be
your teacher. It is the only true teacher although the
bills for the lessons can be a bitch.
Look over the following books and check
them out from your library or purchase the ones that
interest you and spend some time reading about stocks,
bonds, mutual funds and the markets. They are generally
listed from easy to difficult.
The
10-Minute Guide to the Stock Market by Dian Vujovich
(Pub. Macmillan Soectrum/Alpha Books) Chapters on Welcome
to the World of Stocks, Who Owns Stocks, Why People Buy
Stocks, The Stock Markets, The Different Kinds of Stocks,
Where the Money Goes, Stock Personalities, International
Stocks, Dividend Paying Stocks, What to Look for When
Buying Stocks, Dont Overlook These Stock Particulars, How
to Buy Socks, Where to Buy Stocks, When to Sell Stocks,
Tax Consequences, Investment Strategies, Mutual Funds,
Indexes that Track Stocks. Note: There are also 10
Minute Guides to Beating Debt, 401(k) Plans, Annual
Reports and Prospectuses, Smart Borrowing, Buying and
Selling Your Home, Mutual Funds, and Long Term Retirement
Planning.
Learn to
Earn by Peter Lynch.
Published by Fireside Books New York, NY
Easy to understand. Good for a beginning investor.
Contains sections on: A short History of Capitalism, The
Basics of Investing, Stock Picking Tools and How to
Decipher a Balance Sheet.
How I Made
2,000,000 in the Stock Market by Nicolas Darvas
Published by Carol Publishing Group. An
interesting story of a mans experiences in the stock
market, the good, the bad and the ugly.
100 Best
Mutual Funds by Gordon K. Williamson
Published by Adams Media Corp. Good
Reference Book for Mutual Funds. Sections on the following
types of funds, Aggressive Growth, Balanced, Corporate
Bond, Global Equity, Government Bond, Growth, Growth and
Income, High Yield, Metals and Natural Resources, Money
Market, Municipal Bond, Utility Stock, World Bonds.
Appendix A-Q:
Glossary of Mutual Fund Terms, Who Regulates Mutual Funds,
Dollar Cost Averaging, Systematic Withdrawal Plan, Load or
No Load, The Best and Worst Days, Investing in the Face of
Fear, Is Bigger Better, US Compared to Foreign Markets,
Past Performance Compared to Future Returns, The Power of
Dividends, Growth Stocks vs. Value Stocks, Stock
Volatility in Perspective, Does Foreign Diversification
Really Reduce Risk, The Last Fifteen Years, Asset
Categories: Total Returns for the Last Ten Years,
Alphabetical Index of Funds.
Industry
Group and Ticker Symbol Index
by Investors Business Daily
Essential for
stock trading. Lists companies and their trading symbols
by Industry Group, Alphabetically and Alphabetically by
ticker symbol. Available from Investors Business Daily.
Updated twice a year.
Wall
Street Words by David L. Scott.
Published by Houghton Mifflin Company.
Essential reference work of the terms used on Wall Street.
Has technical analysis chart patterns in appendix.
Guide to Understanding
Money and Investing (The Wall Street Journals)
Published by Light Bulb Press Excellent
overall view of money and investment and speculative
vehicles. Has sections on: Money (15 subsections), Stocks
(24 subsections), Bonds (11 subsections), Mutual Funds (10
subsections), Futures and Options (13 subsections).
Guide to
Planning Your Financial Future (The Wall Streets Journals)
Published by
Light Bulb Press. Sections on Retirement and Pension
Plans, Social Security, Investing, Estate Planning and
Health Care.
Lifetime
Guide to Money (The Wall Street Journals)
Published by Hyperion Press. Excellent
overall view of money management. Sections on: Taking
Control of Your Finances, Mastering the Secrets of
Successful Investing, Finding Your Way Through the
Insurance Maze, Making the Most of Your Benefits, Handling
Family Finances and Estate Planning, The Smart Way to Deal
with Debt, Managing the Real Estate Balancing Act, Cutting
Your Taxes and Saving Your Sanity, Steering Clear of
Mistakes and Scams, Putting the Pieces Together When You
Do Not Fit the Mold.
Guide to the Markets
by Investors
business daily.
Excellent book for an in depth study of
markets and investing. Chapters with numerous subsections
on: The Capitalist Epoch, The Stock Market-Your Share of
Prosperity, Mutual Funds-An Investment Revolution,
Options-The Prudent Persons Primer, Bonds-A Huge and
Varied Market of Steady Returns, The Futures
Market-Getting a Handle on the Hype, Economics and the
Markets.
How to
Make Money in Stocks by William J. Oneil
Highly recommended for independent
investors. Excellent book for stock picking. Explains
William Oneils CANSLIM method for picking winning stocks.
Chapters on: Current Quarterly Earnings per Share, How
Much is Enough; Annual Earnings Increases, Look for
Meaningful Growth; New Products, New Management, New
Highs, Buying at the Right Time; Supply and Demand, Small
Capitalization, Plus Big Volume Demand; Leader or Laggard,
Which is Your Stock; Institutional Sponsorship, A Little
Goes a Long Way; Market Direction, How to Determine it.
Additional chapters on buying and selling, chart reading,
ticker tape reading, models of the greatest stock market
winners from 1953-1993 and more.
Encyclopedia
of Investing by
Investors Business Daily
Reprints of articles published in Investors
Business Daily on Stock Picking, The General Market,
Mutual Funds, Bonds, Options and Futures.
Guide to High
Performance Investing
by Investors Business Daily
Involved and technical. Lots of study.
Chapters on: General Market Indicators, Psychological
Market Indicators, Stock Analysis, Investment Strategy and
Mutual Funds.
An individual
who plans to be a self-directed investor should subscribe
to one of the financial newspapers such as the Wall Street
Journal, Barrons or Investors Business Daily. Tuning
yourself to the making of money means immersing yourself
in information and reading financial newspapers that can
give you a broad view of what is going on in the markets
and economy.
INVESTORS BUSINESS DAILY
Investors.com
800-599-0514
RETIREMENT ACCOUNTS
One $2,000
contribution to a Roth IRA compounding at 9% over 35 years
puts over $40,000 tax free in your pocket when you retire.
A worker
making $30,000 per year wants to retire at 65 with
$500,000 in savings. At an 8% return he would have to put
9% of his pay away if he started at age 30. If he
postpones starting his savings program until he is 40 he
will have to put away 21% of each paycheck. If he starts
saving at 50 he would have to put away over 50% of each
paycheck. (Source Investors Business Daily)
Invest $2,000 a year for 10 years at 8%
and you would have just over $31,000 when you stopped
investing. Retire at age 70 ½ with an 8% annual return and
that $31,000 would be about $600,000.
One of the most important things you can do
for your financial future is to open an Individual
Retirement Account. Below are the current basic choices.
There are penalties for early withdrawal, limits on
contributions and, as always, the rules may be changed by
the government. But it is one of the best investments you
can make. With some accounts you can make withdrawals for
hardship or take out loans for education. As of 1999
Americans have 585 Billion in 401(k) plans and 934 Billion
in IRA accounts.
.457 ACCOUNTS--The
name of this account is taken from the section of the tax
code that creates them. It is a salary deduction plan
whereby an employee can defer taking income up to a
certain ceiling thereby reducing their taxable income. The
money is invested and grows tax-deferred until the
employee changes jobs or retires. Loans and hardship
withdrawals may be allowed.
ESOPs--(Employee Stock Ownership
Plans) These retirement plans invest in the companies
stock and are often funded by the company. There are
various rules for when the stock can be sold; employers
must by law let older workers sell a percentage of the
stock to diversify their investments; some companies
require employees leaving the company to sell their shares
back to the company.
401(k)--A retirement plan provided
by some employers in which an employee makes contributions
that are deducted from pre-tax dollars. The employer will
often make a matching contribution up to a certain amount.
The employee manages the account and the money isnt taxed
until withdrawal. Americans have over 580 billion dollars
in 401(k)s with 42% of that in mutual funds. Visit
financialengines.com.
The service, Financial Engines, was co-founded by Nobel
Prize-winning economist Bill Sharpe. The service will
project the performance of your 401(k) holdings and give
you specific advice on which of your holdings you should
sell and what to buy. You give it your goals and it will
tell you what the chance is that your current holdings
will meet that goal.
403(b)--A retirement plan similar to
the 401(k) for employees of school districts, hospitals
and nonprofit organizations. Employee contributions are
deducted from pre-tax dollars, the employee may direct the
account and the money is not taxed until it is withdrawn.
TRADITIONAL IRA--A tax-deferred
retirement account for individuals whose income falls
within a certain range. As income increases above a
certain point the amount that can be contributed
decreases. There is a limit to the amount that can be
contributed per year and the contribution is deducted from
pre-tax income lowering tax liability. The account may be
self-directed. The money is taxed upon withdrawal. You can
start taking distributions at age 59 ½. You must start
taking distributions by April 1, following the year you
reach 70 ½ years of age. There is a mandatory minimum
amount that must be withdrawn.
ROTH IRAA retirement account in
which the contributions are made with after tax dollars.
There is a limit to the amount that can be contributed per
year. The account may be self-directed. The money is not
taxed upon withdrawal and there is currently no mandatory
distribution requirement.
SIMPLE(Savings Incentive Match Plans
for Employees) Employees can make pre-tax contributions up
to a certain limit and the employer may elect to make a
matching contribution up to 3% of compensation and a
maximum of $6,000. The money is not taxed until
withdrawal. The account may be self-directed.
SEP-IRA(Simplified Employee
Pensions) Those who are self employed can make
contributions up to a certain percentage of income. Income
from most part-time jobs qualifies. The contribution is
tax deductible and the money is not taxed until
withdrawal. The account may be self-directed. You cannot
borrow from a SEP.
KEOGHA retirement plan for the
self-employed that lets them contribute a certain
percentage of their income up to a ceiling and deduct it
from their taxable income. Just about any self-employed
income qualities. The income is tax-deferred until
withdrawal. There are two types of KEOGH plans. The
profit-sharing plan allows a percentage to be contributed
up to a limit. The amount of contributions can be changed
or interrupted making it flexible. With the money-purchase
plan you must set a certain amount to be contributed and
stay with it. If the contribution is not made there is a
penalty. Small businesses may also offer KEOGH plans.
EDUCATIONAL IRAs (529 PLANS) can be
set up for children under 18 year of age and up to $500
can be contributed each year. The contributions are tax
free if used for books, tuition and other qualified
expenses.
10 THINGS TO KNOW ABOUT IRAS
(1) You
can invest your IRA any way you like: savings accounts,
money market funds, mutual funds, bonds, stocks, options
or futures.
(2) If one
spouse is not working you may still open an IRA for that
spouse and contribute the maximum amount allowed
(currently $2,000 for Roth and Traditional).
(3) To
open an IRA you will have to provide a list of primary and
secondary beneficiaries, their date of birth and social
security numbers and the percentage they are to receive.
(4) You
cannot trade on margin with an IRA account.
(5) Your contributions to retirement plans cannot
exceed the maximum allowed by the IRS and these vary with
the type of plan and may be changed in the future.
(6) You
dont have check writing privileges with an IRA brokerage
account.
(7) If you
die with money in your IRA the money will be paid in the
percentages. specified to the primary beneficiaries, if
they are not alive the money goes to the secondary
beneficiaries, if they are not alive the money goes to
your estate.
(8) If you take money out of your IRA before retirement
you must pay a tax penalty. With some types of accounts
you may be able to take out a loan or (in a Roth) take out
money for a first time purchase of a primary residence or
for educational purposes.
(9) You do
not have to pay a penalty for early withdrawal if you are
totally disabled.
(10)Belonging to different retirement programs may
effect how much you can contribute to any IRA account.
Note: Transfers are the movement
of funds directly between two IRA accounts (they must be
the same types of account). In Rollovers the money
goes to the account holder who then chooses another
retirement plan to move the money to. At present you have
60 days to move the money into another IRA account without
penalty
For additional info contact the IRS @
800-829-1040 and order publication 590 individual
retirement arrangements. It can be ordered online at
irs.ustreas.gov
IRA INVESTMENTS: BONDS VS STOCKS
Invest
$2,000 per year from age 25 to 65 in a bond IRA with an
average annual rate of return of 5.2% (historical average
return) and you would have $253,722 when you retired.
Invest the same $2,000 per year in stocks with an average
return of 11% (historical average return) And you would
have $1,163,652. (Source Investors Business Daily)
DOLLAR
COST AVERAGING
Dollar cost
averaging is a good way to cut the risk of investing and
is a good way for a conservative investor to invest. You
invest a fixed amount every month or some other period of
time in an investment vehicle and over time the
fluctuations of the market tend to average out. When the
price of the security is down you are buying more shares,
when the price is up you are buying less but your
securities bought before are worth more.
Studies done
on dollar cost averaging compared to lump sum investing
showed that generally speaking lump sum investing has
produced a superior return in the majority of cases but
not everyone has a lump sum to invest. A lump sum investor
who doesnt study the market for a particular security
could end up investing at the highest price. Dollar cost
averaging provides a risk-adjusted way to invest.
20 YEAR
AVERAGE RETURNS OF INVESTMENT VEHICLES
STANDARD
AND POORS 500 17.8%
SMALL CAP
STOCKS 16%
INTERNATIONAL STOCKS 13.8%
CORPORATE
BONDS 10.9%
INTERMEDIATE TERM GOV. BONDS 9.9%
30 DAY
T-BILLS 7.2%
NOTE:
Different historical averages will often be quoted for the
same investment vehicle due to the time frame for each
computation, whether it is computed before or after taxes
and the assumed tax rate.
STOCKS, BONDS AND TAXES
Keep in
mind that bond interest income may be taxed at the highest
rate (currently 39.6%) if you are in the highest income
bracket. Stocks held for long-term capital gains (held
over a year) are currently taxed at a maximum rate of 20%.
MAJOR ECONOMIC INDICATORS AND INDEXES
Various indexes and averages are used to
gauge the health of the economy. The major indexes are:
INDEX OF LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS
tracks a number of gauges of the health of the economy
such as unemployment claims, new factory orders, housing
starts, durable goods, measures of manufacturing
performance and the money supply. It is an indication of
whether the economy is moving toward recession or growth.
THE
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX tracks housing, food,
transportation, medical care, clothing, entertainment and
other factors and reflects economic trends. It influences
economic decisions such as cost of living raises in jobs
and pensions. It is one of the most watched indicators of
inflation.
THE
PRODUCER PRICE INDEX tracks the cost of raw materials.
When production costs rise the increased cost is passed
along to the consumer over the following months causing
the price of goods to rise.
THE
LEADING INFLATION INDEX measures inflation rate
changes and is published by the Center for
International Business Cycle Research.
There are other indicators that measure
consumer confidence, personal income and consumption and
gross domestic product but these are the major indicators.
DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE In 1884
investor Charles Dow took the average closing prices of 11
stocks (9 railroad and 2 manufacturers) and created the
Dow Jones Industrial Average. He published it in a paper
he had started with Edward Jones. The paper was later to
become The Wall Street Journal. The list has been updated
20 times as the fortunes of companies changed and has been
expanded. Of the original companies on the list only
General Electric remains. The rest are gone with the wind.
DOW JONES TRANSPORTATION AND UTILITY
AVERAGES monitors airlines, railroads and trucking
companies and gas electric and power companies.
STANDARD AND POORS 500 INDEX (S & p 500)
created in 1923 acts as a proxy for the market and
tracks 500 leading companies. It is the benchmark that
investors most often measure their performance by.
NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE COMPOSITE
tracks all stocks traded on the NYSE.
NASDAQ COMPOSITE tracks all stocks
traded on the NASDAQ exchange. It generally has more
volatility than other indexes.
AMEX INDEX tracks the companies
listed on the AMEX exchange.
RUSSEL 2000 tracks the smallest two
thirds of the 3,000 largest companies.
WILSHIRE 5000 tracks all stocks
traded on the exchanges.
Investors
should watch the indicators to keep a general idea of the
state of the economy and the direction that it is heading.
An individual who invests blindly without regard to the
direction of the economy is one who will eventually invest
badly.
THE EFFECTS OF INFLATION
One dollar invested in 1925 would be
worth approximately the following before inflation: In
large company stocks, $2,351.89; in long term corporate
bonds, $61.34, long term government bonds, $44.18;
treasury bills $14.94.
One dollar invested in 1925 would be
worth approximately the following after inflation: large
company stocks, $257.12, long term corporate bonds, $6.71;
long term government bonds, $4.83; treasury bills, $1.63.
One hundred dollars a month invested at
an annual rate of return of 10% turns into $227,000 after
30 years. At 3% annual inflation it is worth only
$117,000. (Source: Investors Business Daily)
If you had stuffed $500 in your mattress
in 1971 it would be worth about $113 in 1998. (Source:
American Century)
The rate of
inflation has a significant effect on purchasing power of
your money. At 3% inflation over 25 years the purchasing
power of $10.00 becomes $4.80. At 5% over 25 years the
purchasing power of ten dollars is only $3.00.
Generally
inflation and higher interest rates causes the price of
stocks to fall. It eats away at the fixed income of bonds
and increases the value of real estate and the cost of
maintaining it. It depresses the housing and automobile
markets.
Look for signs of inflation in monthly
government reports, the Producer Price Index, Consumer
Price Index and the price of futures contracts for crude
oil, cotton, copper, cattle and gold. Rather than try and
track and understand all the indicators yourself why not
just watch CNBC and let the professionals keep you
informed. While there is always a difference of opinion
concerning which way things are going to go, by listening
to professionals analyze the current situation and the
possibilities and watching what happens you increase you
knowledge.
THE RULE
OF 72 To find out the number of years it will take for
prices to double take the number 72 and divide it by the
annual inflation rate.
7 BASIC
RULES OF INVESTMENT SECURITY
1.
Dont discuss the amounts of your
investments with anyone. Its
all right to discuss investments generally with close
friends if you are comfortable with that type of
conversation but amounts should not be discussed. If one
party has a great deal more than the other does it might
create hard feelings that might come back to haunt you
should they some day become an enemy.
2. Dont
brag about your investments in front of acquaintances or
strangers. You can never tell who is a criminal or
acquainted with criminals or who may someday be a dire
enemy. Put yourself up as a wealthy individual and you
might be the target of a burglary or worse. Brag about
your investments and someone might think youre so rich you
keep loads of cash and valuables lying around your house.
Keep in mind
there are other types of theft besides burglary. Every
computer sends an electronic signal each time you press a
key. A receiver hooked to a laptop computer can pick up
these signals and duplicate them on the screen. Be known
as a wealthy online trader and some day someone may be
parked outside your house with the proper electronic
equipment recording you type away. It has happened.
3.
Never trade on a network computer or touch-tone trade on a
phone hooked up to a network. Anyone with a bit of
computer knowledge can get your user name and password. If
the network isnt set up for an audit trail you wont know
who got in. With an audit trail you will know which
computer but not necessarily who. An enemy doesnt have to
steal your money in the conventional sense. They can just
sell your stock and buy you a handful of bad stocks it
will take you a lot in trading fees to get out of and more
to get back into what you wanted.
4. Dont
allow anyone you dont know extremely well to use the
computer you trade on unattended. They can put a
program in there to record your keystrokes and pick it up
later or search for files containing that information if
you are not present.
5. Use
camouflage for your investment records if a safe or secure
place isnt available. If you use the record sheets
provided in The Money Tree to keep track of your
investment information, keep the Money Tree with other
binders or in a bookcase. Keep financial statements
somewhere other than a desk drawer or file cabinet.
(6)
Invest in a paper shredder for all financial documents
that are to be thrown out.
Grabbing someones garbage is probably the easiest way to
find financial records.
7. If
you sell your computer remember that when you save or
delete files, copies remain on your hard drive until they
are overwritten or wiped clean. When floppy disks
from one computer are used on another computer whatever is
brought up is saved to the hard drive. Erase the C drive
if you sell the computer.